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On the Horizon

Thoughts, musings, and a little bit of entertainment from the world of personal finance.

The Tao of Leprechauns

2/10/2020

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In honor of it being March, let’s talk about leprechauns.

First - did you know that Leprechaun (the movie) was Jennifer Anniston’s first film role?  Starring film role, that is. Apparently she had a bit part as one of the McDonald’s dancers in Mac and Me in the late 80’s.  Which, from what I can gather, is kind of like if E.T. was produced, directed, and starred Ronald McDonald.  But I digress. Back to leprechauns!

Second - did you know that prior to the 20th century, leprechauns were depicted as wearing red, not green?  True story. Yeats actually claimed both, that it was the solitary leprechauns who wore red and the “trooping” ones that wore green.  So go ahead and wear your red proudly at the St. Paddy’s Day parade this year, you solitary leprechaun, you.

Third - we all know about the leprechaun’s pot o’ gold, ostensibly at the end of the rainbow.  But do you know what leprechauns do
for a living?  Yes, they have an occupation.  They are - wait for it - cobblers.  Which, unless things are drastically different in the fairy realm, is not the most lucrative of professions.  So how does a race of (usually) unseen cobblers become known throughout the world for hoards of gold coins? The only possible explanation is that…


Fourth - leprechauns are masterful savers.  While I can’t entirely condone the whole “bury your gold in the ground” thing, I think there’s a lesson for all us in the uniform way that leprechauns across the board have managed to save up massive amounts of money.


Way back in the first ever Rogue Waves
, I gave out the two secrets to investment success.  Remember what they were? Time and compound interest.  Leprechauns are perfectly illustrative of the time component.  Even if you get zero growth on your money, a little bit of savings will turn into an entire pot of gold with enough time.


Now, since you as I, as mere humans, don’t have the savings time horizon of a leprechaun, we’ll need to take advantage of investing secret number two: compound interest.  How do we do that? There’s an easy bit and a hard bit. The easy bit is to put your money in things that actively pay you interest or dividends - bonds, real estate funds, dividend-paying stocks.  Happy to talk through your options with you.


The hard bit is putting your money in things that actively pay you interest or dividends AND
match your risk tolerance.  If you see your account value going down and you hit the eject (sell) button, then both your compound interest AND your time stop working for you, and you’re 0 for 2 on the investing secrets to success.  At which point you may very well think it a good idea to start chasing rainbows looking for pots of gold.


Until Discovery Channel starts airing a “Rainbow Chasers” reality TV show, that’s probably not a brilliant way to make money.  Stick to the budgeting/saving/compound interest over time method, and you’ll be alright. And if you need a little help getting on that path, drop us a line -
russ@atiwealthpartners.com.


Sláinte!

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The Return of Voldemort

5/31/2019

 
Dark Marks have been flying around recently like it’s the Quidditch World Cup.  Here’s a brief selection:
  • Inverted yield curve (the 10-yr yield has been below the 3-mo yield for 6 days and counting.  Emphasis on “and counting” after that ridiculous Mexican tariff tweet last night).
  • Most reasonable levels of market support have been broken (again, thanks to last night’s tweetstorm).
  • Global exports lowest since 2009
  • Falling auto sales
  • Crumbling manufacturing activity
  • Service sector slowdown
  • Disappointing capital goods orders
  • US home prices down 12 months in a row
  • Highest credit card delinquencies in 8 years

And then there’s the dead unicorns.

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